March 4, 2008

GHQ: Natural Evolution

By Richard Turcsik

Through a special arrangement, what follows is an excerpt
of a current article from Grocery Headquarters magazine, presented here
for discussion.

With organic/natural categories continuing to grow at over
20 percent a year, more and more conventional manufacturers are getting into
the arena. Their arrival is expected to dramatically increase the access and
affordability of organics in the marketplace.

In January, the Clorox Co. announced
it was rolling out Green Works, a line of eco-friendly household cleaners. “We’re
putting the Clorox logo prominently on the label to communicate that this is
a trusted source,” a
Clorox official told the San Francisco Chronicle.

In February, Coca-Cola
acquired a 40 percent stake in Honest Tea, an organic ready-to-drink tea producer.

“There’s
clearly recognition [by Coca-Cola] that this is the way consumers are moving,” Seth
Goldman, Honest Tea’s CEO, told Grocery Headquarters. “Our growth and
the opportunity that they see as they move forward too, really makes it clear
that there is just great opportunity ahead.”

Kraft’s organic and natural offerings
cover a broad section of supermarket categories, spanning from salad dressing
to its iconic macaroni and cheese. It also has the Back to Nature and Boca
brands. “Consumer demand for natural and organic products is increasing and
Kraft is bringing such products more into the mainstream so that more and more
consumers have access to natural and organic foods,” said
Laurie M. Guzzinati, a spokeswoman for Kraft.

The increase in conventional manufacturers
moving into organics helps legitimize the category in the minds of some consumers.

“They’ve
helped move organics from a back section to the center of the store by advertising
and educating the consumer on what organic is,” said Dominick Cingari, chief
operating officer of Fresh Harvest Products, the maker of the Wings of Nature
organic line of coffees, snack bars, olive oil and other products. “And that
took the pressure off the smaller guys who don’t have a multi million dollar
ad budget. The smaller guys are able to benefit because it brings more people
to the category.”

“The entry of mainstream companies into the organics arena helps expand the
category and expose organics to a broader audience, rather than affecting the
sales or growth of existing organic companies,” believes Steve Broad, CEO of
Annie Chun’s Inc., the Asian specialty foods that recently converted its Noodles & Sauce
line over to organic. Consumer loyalty and brand “aura” helps smaller organic
companies survive, he said.

“With mainstream companies, I think it may be seen more as a marketing tactic
to defend territory and consumer defection from those brands if those consumers
want to try organics,” he
said.

Robynn Shrader, CEO of the National Co-Op Grocers Association, an Iowa-based
purchasing cooperative/trade group, said bigger players will put some pressure
on smaller organics manufacturers, but also created new opportunities.

“Our co-ops are really committed to working with the brands,” said Ms. Shrader. “Size really isn’t so much a factor as much as are the practices, principles, integrity, and the quality of the product that they produce.”

Discussion Questions: Will the entry of more mainstream suppliers reshape the organics/natural category? How? What types of challenges and opportunities does their entry place on smaller manufacturers specializing in organics?

Discussion Questions

Poll

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Michael L. Howatt
Michael L. Howatt

Until organics show a major health benefit–like prolonging life for 5+ years, it won’t become integrated into the mainstream purchase patterns. That would mean years of education and research. So the answer to the question won’t be available for a few generations from now and by that time the “next” best thing will most likely have appeared.

Marianne Spain
Marianne Spain

Isn’t it possible that the growth in organic products will force more suppliers into organic practices? That will produce more supply which will help bring prices more in line with current non-organic offerings.

W. Frank Dell II, CMC
W. Frank Dell II, CMC

By the time the giants get on board, the train will have left the station.

First, the 20% growth rate will start declining. These large growth numbers are off a small base, i.e. magnitude of numbers.

Second, consumers will pay more, but not for everything. Some categories, like organic baby food, will continue to grow. Others are more likely to be economically dependent. Consumers will not just pay more when gas and food are costing them more.

When all said and done, there is an organic/natural market but it will never replace the current market in total.

Doron Levy
Doron Levy

We’re seeing organics go mainstream and pretty soon they will be positioned with their non-organic counterpart. Smaller outfits that produce are going to have to give up margins in this category as the big guys move in. More demand is creating more supply in this category.

Max Goldberg
Max Goldberg

The question not being asked is: “Will consumers be willing to spend more money for their food?” If they are because they truly believe that organics are better than what they have been buying, the category will remain a major factor at retail. If not, organics may go the way of all the low-carb products that the major CPG companies were touting so proudly a few years ago. Where are those products now?

Dr. Stephen Needel

My prediction–the entry of mainstream companies will lead to serious skepticism regarding “what is organic” and “why should I pay more?” in the same way that “light/lite” took a hit a while back.

David Livingston
David Livingston

I agree with Mr. Needel above about this being similar to light/lite being better. Another example is the bottled water craze. Or buying Starbucks coffee instead of just getting a free cup from the gas station.

Do consumers really think organic is better than the non-organic? Probably not. Its the image it portrays. I know people who fill up their empty Starbucks cup with free coffee from the gas station and march into the office with their head held high. Or people at the health club who refill their bottled water bottle with tap water.

In reality a lot of people could care less about products being green or organic, but they want to portray an image that they do care.

Kai Clarke
Kai Clarke

Mainstream suppliers entering into the “organic” market will have a dual impact into the viability of the organic market as we know it today.

First, the larger numbers that they will provide as they “mainstream” organics, will draw more attention to the market, demand better definitions and labeling, as well as governmental oversight.

Secondly, their impact will also question the validity of organic, since so many suppliers will also start using this label (i.e. isn’t all tea organic?).

In the end we will have a superior, better defined category which will probably look much different than the one today.

Sue Nicholls
Sue Nicholls

I agree with “newbie” above–that (hopefully) the growth in organic products will force more suppliers into organic practices. And not just for the health benefits, but the benefits to the earth by not using synthetic chemicals that get transferred into the earth.

It is disappointing to see the responses from the panel–with the support of consumers, producers, businesspeople and governments, organic and sustainable agriculture should replace many products that are available on the shelf today. Instead of comparing “organic” to “lite” or “low carb,” consider it to be “trans fat free”–that claim has had significant attention in the consumer’s eye.

Mark Lilien
Mark Lilien

Organic and all-natural are long term major movements. There’s no doubt that more folks will buy organic and all-natural when the price premium is minimized. This is no flash in the pan. Isn’t it interesting that organic and natural can grow in the same economy that grows fast food and SUVs?

10 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Michael L. Howatt
Michael L. Howatt

Until organics show a major health benefit–like prolonging life for 5+ years, it won’t become integrated into the mainstream purchase patterns. That would mean years of education and research. So the answer to the question won’t be available for a few generations from now and by that time the “next” best thing will most likely have appeared.

Marianne Spain
Marianne Spain

Isn’t it possible that the growth in organic products will force more suppliers into organic practices? That will produce more supply which will help bring prices more in line with current non-organic offerings.

W. Frank Dell II, CMC
W. Frank Dell II, CMC

By the time the giants get on board, the train will have left the station.

First, the 20% growth rate will start declining. These large growth numbers are off a small base, i.e. magnitude of numbers.

Second, consumers will pay more, but not for everything. Some categories, like organic baby food, will continue to grow. Others are more likely to be economically dependent. Consumers will not just pay more when gas and food are costing them more.

When all said and done, there is an organic/natural market but it will never replace the current market in total.

Doron Levy
Doron Levy

We’re seeing organics go mainstream and pretty soon they will be positioned with their non-organic counterpart. Smaller outfits that produce are going to have to give up margins in this category as the big guys move in. More demand is creating more supply in this category.

Max Goldberg
Max Goldberg

The question not being asked is: “Will consumers be willing to spend more money for their food?” If they are because they truly believe that organics are better than what they have been buying, the category will remain a major factor at retail. If not, organics may go the way of all the low-carb products that the major CPG companies were touting so proudly a few years ago. Where are those products now?

Dr. Stephen Needel

My prediction–the entry of mainstream companies will lead to serious skepticism regarding “what is organic” and “why should I pay more?” in the same way that “light/lite” took a hit a while back.

David Livingston
David Livingston

I agree with Mr. Needel above about this being similar to light/lite being better. Another example is the bottled water craze. Or buying Starbucks coffee instead of just getting a free cup from the gas station.

Do consumers really think organic is better than the non-organic? Probably not. Its the image it portrays. I know people who fill up their empty Starbucks cup with free coffee from the gas station and march into the office with their head held high. Or people at the health club who refill their bottled water bottle with tap water.

In reality a lot of people could care less about products being green or organic, but they want to portray an image that they do care.

Kai Clarke
Kai Clarke

Mainstream suppliers entering into the “organic” market will have a dual impact into the viability of the organic market as we know it today.

First, the larger numbers that they will provide as they “mainstream” organics, will draw more attention to the market, demand better definitions and labeling, as well as governmental oversight.

Secondly, their impact will also question the validity of organic, since so many suppliers will also start using this label (i.e. isn’t all tea organic?).

In the end we will have a superior, better defined category which will probably look much different than the one today.

Sue Nicholls
Sue Nicholls

I agree with “newbie” above–that (hopefully) the growth in organic products will force more suppliers into organic practices. And not just for the health benefits, but the benefits to the earth by not using synthetic chemicals that get transferred into the earth.

It is disappointing to see the responses from the panel–with the support of consumers, producers, businesspeople and governments, organic and sustainable agriculture should replace many products that are available on the shelf today. Instead of comparing “organic” to “lite” or “low carb,” consider it to be “trans fat free”–that claim has had significant attention in the consumer’s eye.

Mark Lilien
Mark Lilien

Organic and all-natural are long term major movements. There’s no doubt that more folks will buy organic and all-natural when the price premium is minimized. This is no flash in the pan. Isn’t it interesting that organic and natural can grow in the same economy that grows fast food and SUVs?

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